The UK’s major banks were caught in the crossfire on Friday between the legacy of monetary policy and the government’s pressing fiscal need. This precarious position resulted in a £6.4 billion blow to their market value after a report proposed a new tax to bridge the gap between the two, sparking widespread investor alarm.
On one side is the monetary policy legacy of quantitative easing (QE), which is now costing the public purse £22 billion a year in interest payments to banks. On the other is the government’s fiscal need to plug a £40 billion budget hole. The IPPR thinktank’s proposal for a windfall tax aims to use the former to solve the latter.
Caught in the middle, the banks saw their stock prices plummet. NatWest fell nearly 5%, Lloyds over 3%, and Barclays 2% as investors reacted to the prospect of the sector being used as a tool to clean up a fiscal mess. The £6.4 billion loss represents the market’s assessment of the damage this could cause.
This situation highlights the complex and often conflicting pressures on the banking sector. It is expected to support economic growth through lending, yet it is also seen as a source of revenue when the government is in trouble. Navigating this crossfire will be a key challenge for both the banks and the chancellor in the months ahead.
UK Banks Caught in the Crossfire of Monetary Policy and Fiscal Need
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